Nearly Two Teams of Hockey Sticks used in Massive Wilson Super Reconstruction

“Right in the middle of the thing our resident genius admits to throwing out data which goes against the theory that the trees are measuring temperature. Those trees that DO correlate to temp, have some magic and unknowable property which binds them inextricably to temperature for all time. Somehow this magic also doesn’t allow them to be identified any other way than after looking at the data. Really old trees that exist prior to the temperature record are usually left unsorted. We readers of such drek, typically have no idea how many trees must be examined before a magic ‘thermometertree’ is selected because the expert scientists don’t bother to tell us. Now the sets are so predetermined that experts don’t even look at non-sanctioned data so we have a functional presort as a defacto standard. D’Aroigo may make no apologies for the statistical scatology being peddled but it doesn’t mean that it is defensible or even remotely scientific. In fact, were the ‘scientists’ to do the job correctly the rejection vs acceptance of trees during sorting IS quantifiable and can be used to statistically determine if the trees have a valid signal, but a far less biased and more scientific person than Rosanne D’Arrigo is clearly required”

the Air Vent

So a Willis Eschenbach article at WUWT caught my attention this afternoon and cost me several hours. It is basically an average of 54 different tree ring reconstructions around the world. The sheer volume of data which went into each hockey stick and then was processed into the final hockeystick is huge.  Willis demonstrated the indescribable method used to combine the data turned out to be equivalent to a simple average. The result: Hockeystick!

53-proxies-wilson-2016[1] Graph per Willis Eschenbach — WUWT article linked above Last millennium northern hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings:
Rob Wilson a, b, *, Kevin Anchukaitis b, c, Keith R. Briffa d, Ulf Büntgen e, g, h, Edward Cook b,
Rosanne D’Arrigo b, Nicole Davi b, i, Jan Esper j, Dave Frank e, Bj€orn Gunnarson k,
Gabi Hegerl l, Samuli Helama m, Stefan Klesse e, Paul J. Krusic f, k, Hans W. Linderholm n,
Vladimir Myglan o…

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Dr. Robert Carter, scientist, climate skeptic, pioneer, friend – R.I.P

Watts Up With That?

I was shocked and saddened to read this, I’m passing it on without comment because I can’t write about this at this moment. See update below.

Dr. Robert M. Carter (1941-2016) Dr. Robert M. Carter (1941-2016)

Joe Bast writes:

It is with deep regret that I report the passing of a friend, colleague, and great scholar, Dr. Robert M. Carter. Bob died peacefully in a hospital surrounded by family and friends following a heart attack a few days ago. He was 74 years old.

Funeral arrangements are being made and it will most likely take place on Monday next week in Townsville, Australia.

This is almost unspeakably sad. Bob was the very embodiment of the “happy warrior” in the global warming debate. He was a scholar’s scholar, with impeccable credentials (including a Ph.D. from Cambridge), careful attention to detail, and a deep understanding of and commitment to the scientific method. He endured the slings…

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Century-old photographs taken in Antarctica show *gasp* open water AND bare land!!

Quixotes Last Stand

We’re all aware by now of the delightfully ironic story coming out of (Summertime) Antarctica, about the climate research ship that is stuck solid in thick ice.  Chinese, Russian and Australian icebreakers have turned back for fear of also getting caught in the grip of the ice sheets.  Apparently these climate researchers are there to update data that was obtained 100 years ago by another climate research team.  That word “update” has my radar on high alert.  Does update mean ‘change’ or ‘alter’ the data to fit more in line with their global warming agenda?  What exactly needs updating?

At any rate, back to this photograph (see below), there are several remarkable things that jump out at me when I look at it.   It’s a picture of a science expeditions chief scientist, Alexander Stevens, taken in McMurdo Bay, Antarctica, in 1914.  What can be seen in this photo that…

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Priceless photo – snow and palm trees juxtaposed in Southern California thanks to El Niño

Watts Up With That?

Southern California has gotten quite  bit of weather lately, thanks to the changes in the jet stream track in this El Niño year. readers may recall my post from last week: El Nino turns ‘el mean yo’ for California where I had a front page of the Bakersfield newspaper showing a snowstorm in progress over the Tehachapi Mountains. There were more storms after that, and many mountains in Southern California now look like mountains in the Sierra Nevada. This one of a kind photo, showing mountains and the beach, pretty well sums up the scene.

jan2016-socal-snow-palms

Photo by Elena Zimina, taken from the Huntington beach Pier, looking east. Downtown Huntington Beach and the Pacific Coast Highway (CA101) are in the middle of the photo just beyond the palms.

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A New System for Determining Global Temperature

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Mike Jonas

Introduction

There are a number of organisations that produce estimates of global temperature from surface measurements. They include the UK Met Office Hadley Centre, the Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS) and Berkeley Earth, but there are others.

They all suffer from a number of problems. Here, an alternative method of deriving global temperature from surface measurements is proposed, which addresses some of those problems.

Note: The terms global temperature and regional temperature will be used here to refer to some kind of averaged surface temperature for the globe or for a region. It could be claimed that these would not be real temperatures, but I think that they would still be useful indicators.

The Problems

Some of the problems of the existing systems are:

· Some systems use temperature measurements from surrounding weather stations (or equivalent) to adjust a station’s…

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Global Warming; A Major Challenge For Science And Society Effectively Tackled By Friends Of Science (FOS)

Watts Up With That?

friends-of-science-billboard-in-ottawa-2014

Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball

There is a large group of scientists who rarely express their views on climate change. They are scientists mostly working in the private sector whose ability to speak out is more limited than government scientists for two reasons. One is Upton Sinclair’s observation

“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it!”

I am not sure “understand” is fair, because many understand but often don’t have the time or the inclination. The other is that for many their salary is from some part of the demonized energy sector, which means they understand but are unable to speak.

About the closest they come to direct, or indirect expression of their opinion usually occurs without their knowledge or approval through the statements issued by their professional society. These organizations, like the national science societies were purposely…

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EU probe into British Drax Biomass Subsidies

Watts Up With That?

Northeast of Drax, author Paul Glazzard, source Wikimedia Northeast of Drax, author Paul Glazzard, source Wikimedia

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

The British Drax biomass plan has received a substantial setback. The Drax project is a plan to “save” the environment by chopping down vast tracts of forest in the USA and Canada, shipping the wood to Britain, and burning it in a modified coal plant. But the government subsidies Drax negotiated to make this scheme profitable, have attracted negative attention from European regulators.

According to The Telegraph;

Blow to Drax biomass plan as EC launches state aid investigation

European Commission raises concerns that proposed subsidies for biomass conversion may be too generous.

Drax’s hopes of securing lucrative subsidies for its biomass conservion have suffered a setback after the European Commission launched a full state aid investigation over concerns the payments may be too generous.

The Yorkshire-based power plant is in the process of switching from burning coal…

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